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50 years of Premium Bonds
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The history of Premium BondsPremium Bonds and ERNIE have enjoyed an illustrious and colourful past and have played an important part in Britain's social and financial history. Read all about it in A short history of Premium Bonds, a full colour PDF file. This document is approximately 3.5Mb. Estimated download (56k modem): 15 minutes. Estimated download (512k broadband): 1 minute. Also, the last 50 years are explored here in this detailed history. Click on the headings below to go straight to your area of interest.
1st June 2007 is the fiftieth anniverary of Premium Bond draws. On 1 November 2006 Premium Bonds were 50 years old. The winning Bond numbers are still selected each month by ERNIE (Electronic Random Number Indicator Equipment) who is now in his fourth incarnation. The ethos behind Premium Bonds also remains the same - launched in 1956 with the tagline ’savings with a thrill’ - and it has always been about encouraging people to save for their future. Half a century since they first went on sale Premium Bonds have a place in the savings portfolios of 23 million people - almost 40% of the population of the UK. Together, they own over 36 billion Bonds and over 154 million prizes worth a total of £9.8 billion have been presented to lucky winners. The draw for June 2007 will see 1.4 million prizes awarded worth over £116 million. In the past five years more Bonds have been sold than in the previous 45 years and the number of monthly prizes has doubled. In the last year, 1 million Premium Bonds were bought an hour, 17,000 per minute. Premium Bonds have gone through four phases. Phase 1: Initial launch period (1956-1961) The initial launch in the 1950s received a huge wave of coverage and attention which continued into the early 60s. Celebrities posed with ERNIE and draws were televised. By 1961, 13 million people had invested £309 million. Phase 2: Gradual growth (1961-1993) Interest in Premium Bonds grew more gradually during this period. By the end of 1993, 23 million people held £3 billion Phase 3: Jackpot era (1994-2001) National Savings and Investments (NS&I) launched a £1 million top prize in April 1994 and the spotlight turned again to Premium Bonds. In addition, more emphasis was placed on the ‘savings’ element rather than being seen as a lottery. This can be seen by the rise in the average holding from £38 in 1966 to £736 in 2001, perhaps helped by the introduction of automatic prize reinvestment in 1995. By 2001, the number of Premium Bond holders fell to 22.9 million but the amount invested had reached £17 billion. Phase 4: Renaissance (2002 to 2007) NS&I took Premium Bonds into the 21st century and developed it into one of the most popular savings schemes today by making them easier to buy (telephone, internet and through standing order), increasing the amount that could be invested (£30,000) and introducing an extra jackpot prize. In addition, because of stock market fluctuations and the relatively low rate of interest available on mainstream savings accounts, investors have been looking for a safe home for some of their money. By June 2007, the number of Premium Bonds holders had increased to 23.7 million, roughly one third of the population, with £36 billion invested.
Figures for June of each year Then and Now: 1957 - 2007
History: the 1950sPremium Bonds first went on sale on 1 November 1956 and were launched by the then Chancellor of the Exchequer Rt. Hon. Harold MacMillan at a ceremony in Trafalgar Square. He had unveiled the scheme in his Budget on 17 April that year, as a means to control inflation and encourage saving in the period after the war. Premium Bonds, he said, would be: “An encouragement to the practice of saving and thrift by those members of the community who are not attracted by the reward of interest, but do respond to the incentive of fortune. My object is to invite people to save for the chance of a prize.” The top prize of £1,000 certainly proved a good incentive - on the first day of sales alone, £5 million worth of Bonds were bought. By the end of the month £46.5 million had been invested and by the time of the first draw, in June the next year, £82 million worth of Bonds were held. In those days Bonds had to be held for six months before they were entered in a draw, so only investors who bought in 1956 were in the running for the first set of prizes. The Lord Mayor of London, Alderman Sir Cuthbert Ackroyd, bought the first Bond for £1 from Postmaster-General, Dr Charles Hill, at a ceremony in front of the Royal Exchange in the City of London. The second was bought by Councillor W Crook, the Mayor of Lytham St Anne’s, where Premium Bonds were then based (they are now based in nearby Blackpool). Similar ceremonies were held around the country on launch day. British soldiers also got in on the act, with the first overseas Bonds being bought by troops based in Monchengladbach in Germany, and some companies bought Bonds in bulk for their employees. The maximum investment at that time was £500 and the top prize was £1,000. ControversyThe launch of Premium Bonds marked the first time the British government had been involved in anything approaching a lottery since 1826, when state lotteries were banned. And it was too close to a lottery for some. In fact, Premium Bonds were actively considered between 1916-1918 before being ruled out by the government of the time. Opposition to Premium Bonds came from all political sides and from other sections of society, the most vocal being religious groups. In parliament, the shadow chancellor Harold Wilson called the scheme a ‘squalid raffle’ and a 'national demoralisation’ and urged Rt. Hon. Harold MacMillan to drop the scheme. Church leaders expressed concern that Britain would become a nation of gamblers and warned people not to get involved. The Archbishop of Canterbury, Dr Geoffrey Fisher, described buying Bonds as ’a cold, solitary, mechanical, uncompanionable, inhuman activity’ and concluded ’all things considered the best course of action is to leave the whole thing alone’. Some took his advice, with the Lord Provost of Glasgow and the Mayor of Chesterfield both refusing to be involved in celebrations, and two female Post Office workers in Manchester refusing to handle Bonds for religious reasons. But many people embraced the new scheme and 49 million Bonds were eligible for the first draw on 1 June 1957. The first drawIn Lytham St. Annes at 9.15am on 1 June 1957, the Postmaster-General Ernest Marples flicked an ivory switch to get ERNIE started. Sixteen minutes later the first winning number had been produced: Premium Bond IFK341150, held by an investor in Cumbria. Lord Mackintosh of Halifax, Chairman of the National Savings Committee made the announcement. The draw should have taken 30 hours to complete, but did not end until 3 June because the engineers and staff had to get some rest. By that time 23,142 winners had been selected to share a prize pot worth £969,750. There were 96 winners of the £1,000 jackpot, with the other winners taking prizes worth between £25 and £500. The odds of winning a prize in the first draw were 2,095 to 1. Five of the jackpot winners had bought one single £1 Bond. 49 millions Bonds were entered into the draw. The winning numbers were printed on a gummed tape which was stuck to a card, and they had to check it against the Bond numbers in circulation. This involved trawling through files to find record cards matching the selected numbers. Back to top
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ERNIE 1 |
ERNIE 2 |
ERNIE 3 |
ERNIE 4 |
|
Built |
PO Research Dept |
Plessey |
LogicaCMG |
LogicaCMG |
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Year |
1957 |
1973 |
1988 |
2004 |
|
Prizes* |
23,142 |
90,338 |
191,639 |
788,548 |
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Prize Value* |
£969,750 |
£3.7 million |
£11.5 million |
£47.3 million |
|
Investment in Premium Bonds* |
£49 million |
£969 million |
£2.2 billion |
£25 billion |
|
Weight |
1,500kg |
760kg |
15kg |
10kg |
|
Time taken to run draw (at end of machine’s life) |
10 days (1973) |
5.5 hours(1988) |
5.5 hours(2004) |
3.5hrs** |
|
Processing speed (per hour) |
2,000 |
65,000 |
330,000 |
1 million |
* At time of introduction
** current speed
Finding the winners
ERNIE is only used to generate numbers - finding the winners is done afterwards - and each month he produces many more sets of numbers than there are prizes available. This is because some numbers will represent Bonds that have not yet been bought or have been cashed in.
At first, the business of finding which numbers matched Bonds had to be done by hand, by a team of workers at the Premium Bonds headquarters. The winning numbers were printed on a gummed tape which was stuck to a card, and they had to check it against the Bond numbers in circulation. This involved trawling through row after row of files to find record cards matching the selected numbers.
Now things are much easier. The numbers of every Bond and details of who holds them are all stored electronically. Winning numbers are saved onto a CD and cross-checked automatically with existing Premium Bonds.
Randomness and luck
Every month every single Premium Bond stands the same chance as any other of winning a prize. The odds of each single Bond winning are set by NS&I and currently stand at 24,000 to 1. The more Bonds an investor owns the greater their chance of winning a prize each month.
To ensure ERNIE is truly random each month’s winning numbers are verified by the Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) before the winners are notified.
GAD carries out a series of statistical tests on the results to make sure the numbers generated are not following any kind of pattern, because that would suggest a bias. The four main tests are:
- frequency test to make sure every possible character in every position of the Bond number appears as often as it should
- serial test which looks at how often one digit follows another, for example how many 3s come directly after 7s
- poker test which analyses how many times a group of four consecutive characters contain four identical characters, how often they contain three of a kind, two of a kind and no matches
- correlation test which looks at how often characters in two different positions appear in those same positions over a series of Bond numbers.
If no pattern is discernable the draw is judged to be random and GAD issues a certificate stating that this is the case. The tests have never detected a pattern in ERNIE’s selection.
Back to topLuck
Despite the randomness of the draw, analysis of the winning Bonds over a year throws up certain towns, names and signs of the zodiac that have been luckier than others. In 2006-07, the luckiest part of the country was the Glasgow. Bond holders there won more prizes of £1,000 and over per million Bonds held than those living anywhere else in the country. In 2005-06, the luckiest town was City of London and in 2004-05 it was Oldham.
The name Hannah also seems to be luckier than any other. It was the luckiest name in 2005-06 for winning high value prizes, a title it also held in 2003-04. In 2004-05, the luckiest name was Matthew, the only time a boy’s name has entered the top spot.
Back to topThe winners
Since the first draw took place in June 1957, Bond holders have won more than 154 million tax-free prizes worth a combined total of £9.8 billion. In the first draw, 23,000 prizes were paid out, but now the number stands at 1.4 million every month. This includes two £1 million jackpots.
The first £1 million jackpot was introduced in April 1994, and a second £1 million prize added in August 2005. 1 June 2007, the 50th anniversary Premium Bond draw, coincides with the creation of the 169th to the 173rd Premium Bonds millionaire. Jackpot winners are scattered around the country, from Cardiff to County Down to Cumbria.
The first millionaire lived in Surrey and held Bonds worth £10,000. The winning Bond was one of £2,000 bought just 10 months before the draw, but it was not the quickest to yield results. Several people have been fortunate enough to see their investments turn them into millionaires in just two months. In August 2005, when the second jackpot was introduced, an investor in Hampshire won £1 million on a Bond bought in June 2005, the first time that Bond had been eligible.
Other millionaires have had to be more patient. In July 2004 an East Londoner with just £17 worth of Bonds won the jackpot, thanks to a Bond bought back in February 1959. The win belied the myth that only new Bonds have a chance of winning, and also proved that it’s not only big investors who can become millionaires.
Since the £250,000 jackpot was introduced in 1980 the top-prize winners have been informed in person. Now the job is done by two people, each going by the name Agent Million. They turn up without warning and run checks to make sure they are speaking to the winner before they reveal who they are and why they are there.
Jackpot winners are offered access to financial advice and support from NS&I while they decide what to do with their money. Unlike winners of the National Lottery, Premium Bonds winners tend to keep their good fortune quiet. Their winnings are usually used to clear a mortgage or pay for a more comfortable retirement, rather than blown on expensive purchases.
Winners
Hannah Peterson (not her real name) won the £1 million jackpot in August 2004 – it was her first win. Her winning Bond, number 50XH949682, came from a £3,000 investment made in February 2003.
”Agent Million arrived on a Sunday afternoon – 1 August 2004. It changed my life. When they turned up I thought something had gone wrong with my Premium Bonds. I nearly passed out when I was told what I'd won. I was totally overwhelmed.
“I remember it was a moonlit night that night, because I thought I was going crazy. I couldn't sleep. I just couldn't imagine what £1 million would look like. I wrote £1 and then started to add noughts. When I got to £10,000 I started to shake.
”Before I won I was living on £108 pension a week so you can imagine how it changed my life. I bought a house - my little slice of heaven. I also bought up to the maximum [in Premium Bonds] straight away. I still get £50 a month and to be honest I get almost as much pleasure in those wins.
”I've told very few people. I telephoned a few relatives, who were worried it was all a hoax. And I told some special friends, just people who could share the secret and still act normally. I do sometimes tell strangers that thanks to ERNIE I'm having a lovely time.”
Graham Webster works as a live-in caretaker in Lytham St Anne’s. He won £50,000 in August 2000.
“I’d had Premium Bonds for 15 years when I won. I’d been buying them from time to time in £100 blocks.
“I got the envelope and I thought it was a circular asking if I wanted to buy more until I saw the letter inside, which I’ve still got. I was reading the figure again and again because I thought it might say £5,000.”
By the time his cheque arrived, Graham had talked to his family and decided to spend the money on a property which he can live in if he ever leaves his job. “I found one quite quickly, it was £52,000. I got some funny looks when I told the building society I could buy it outright, that I wouldn’t need a mortgage, because I don’t look like the sort of person who has a lot of money.”
Since buying the house, Graham has cashed in his Bonds to pay for an extension, but he says he plans to buy more in the future. “I believe luck never runs out so I’ll definitely buy more."
Unclaimed bonds
After 18 months prizes that have not been collected are classified as unclaimed. There are currently more than 480,000 unclaimed Premium Bond prizes worth more than £28 million, some dating back to the 1950s. The smallest unclaimed prize is worth £25 and the largest is £25,000. That winner was last heard of in London and is believed to have moved to Canada, but all efforts to trace them have failed. There are also three £10,000 prizes and more than 20 £5,000 prizes waiting for winners to come forward.
The prizes go unclaimed for a number of reasons, the main one being that the Bond holder moves and forgets to pass on his or her new address to NS&I. Sometimes Bond holders forget that they were given them as a child, and sometimes when someone dies their executors are unaware that they held any Bonds.
Fortunately, there is no time limit on claiming a prize and if they can find the certificate detailing their Bond numbers investors can easily check if they have won anything. The Have you won? facility on the Premium Bonds website offers an immediate answer. Alternatively, people can write to NS&I.
Since November 2001 NS&I has traced £18m Premium Bonds and unclaimed prizes for almost 34,000 people, some now living in Australia, Thailand and Canada.
Back to topMyths
Over the years some myths have grown up around ERNIE and Premium Bonds. Most seem to have developed as ways to explain why some Bond holders seem luckier than others.
Myth 1: ERNIE is not random
ERNIE is not programmable so can’t be set up to produce particular numbers. Each month, the randomness of the draw is verified by the Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) which carries out a series of statistical tests on the selected numbers. Only once it is satisfied that the results of the draw are random will it issue NS&I with a certificate to that effect. NS&I has to have this certificate before it can publish the numbers or issue Premium Bond prizes.
Myth 2: You have to have £30,000 invested to win the jackpot
The more Bonds you hold, the better your chances of winning, but this doesn’t mean that prizes are won exclusively by the investors with the biggest holdings.
In July 2004, the winner of the £1 million jackpot had just £17 in Premium Bonds, and in September this year someone from Berkshire with only £500 won one of the £100,000 prizes. In fact, in the last year only 13 out of the 24 jackpot winners held the £30,000 maximum.
Myth 3: Only new Bonds win prizes
Each £1 Bond has an equal chance of winning, regardless of when it was bought. The reason Bonds purchased more recently seem to win more often is simply that there are more new Bonds than old ones. Earlier this year a £400 Bond bought back in 1956 won £50,000.
Myth 4: Old Bonds are left out of the draw
Premium Bond numbers are not programmed into or stored in ERNIE, so no numbers can be left out of the draw. ERNIE just generates numbers and these could match with any Premium Bond bought at any time.
Myth 5: Only Premium Bonds from the South East win prizes
It may appear that holders in the South East win more prizes, but this is simply because there are more Premium Bonds held there, compared to the rest of the UK. Prize winners come from all over the UK. This year alone, the £1 million jackpot has been won by investors from London, Derbyshire, Northern Ireland and Fife.
Timeline
| 1916 | Chancellor Reginald McKenna MP vetoes the introduction of Premium Bonds. |
| 17 April 1956 | Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rt. Hon. Harold Macmillan MP announces his intention to introduce Premium Bonds. |
| 25th July 1956 | Demonstration model of ERNIE 1 was unveiled by Dr Charles Hill, the Postmaster General |
| 1 November 1956 | Premium Bonds launched at Trafalgar Square. Bonds become eligible after held for six months. Top prize £1,000. |
| 1 June 1957 | First Prize Draw - ERNIE started by Postmaster General, Ernest Marples in Blackpool. |
| 1969 | National Savings splits from the Post Office to become a department in its right. |
| 1 August 1971 | Introduction of a single monthly top prize of £50,000. |
| 5 February 1972 | £1 Premium Bond withdrawn from sale. Minimum purchase £2 |
| February 1973 | ERNIE II introduced |
| 2 June 1976 | Introduction of Premium Bond holders numbers. |
| 1 November 1976 | Top monthly prize raised to £100,000. Minimum purchase £5. |
| 1978 | National Savings moves to Marton |
| 21 April 198- | Maximum Holding now £10,000. |
| 1 July 1980 | New monthly prize of £250,000. |
| October 1988 | ERNIE III introduced. |
| 1 July 1989 | Minimum purchase level for savers over 16 raised to £100. Multiple purchases to be in amounts of £10. |
| 1 February 1993 | Minimum purchase £100 for all savers introduced |
| 13 April 1993 | Maximum holding increased to £20,000 |
| 1 April 1994 |
New monthly jackpot prize of £1 million |
| 1 May 1995 | Introduction of facility for all automatic reinvestment of prizes |
| 2 August 1998 | Premium Bond prize-checker introduced on website to help Bond holders trace unclaimed prizes. Premium Bonds forms can now be downloaded |
| 9 September 2002 | Website (www.nsandi.com) allows Bond holders to check for prizes won in last six months |
| March 2003 | 100 millionth prize awarded |
| 12 May 2003 | Maximum investment raised to £30,000. Then record sales of £1.1 bn in May 2003 achieved |
| April 2004 | ERNIE 4 used for the first time. Launched to the public at Science Museum on 17 August 2004, alongside three previous ERNIEs |
| July 2004 | Premium Bonds available by telephone on 0500 007 007 |
| October 2004 | Premium Bonds can be bought by Standing Order for existing customers. Minimum purchase is £50 after initial purchase of £100 |
| January 2005 | Premium Bonds can be bought on NS&I website. All monthly prizes on website |
| August 2005 | Additional jackpot prize of £1 million introduced |
| September 2006 | PB50th celebrations launched at BBC Proms in the Park (NS&I sponsors) |
| October 2006 | Record sales of £2.2 billion achieved |
| 1st November 2006 | 50th year since launch |
| 1st December 2006 | Special 5 x £1 million draw |
| 1st June 2007 | 50th year since first draw, second special 5 x £1 million draw |
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